For that reason, I have tried to modify Dan Connelly's yaw model for a more evolved wind speed model. The Weibull distribution is a two-parameter distribution that is used to model wind speed in the energy industry but its complexity means that no analytical expression can be obtained for the yaw probability model for the fixed bike speed case. If we consider that bike speed is variable, it becomes too much computing intensive and impractical.
|κ, shape factor of the Weibull distribution. λ, scale parameter of the Weibull distribution. va, average wind speed|
An example. Weibull distribution for bike speeds:
More soon. Thanks for reading!